The Intensive Care Unit: Injury Updates
The Intensive Care Unit: Injury Updates
Basic Economics: Buy Low, Sell High
We’re all familiar with one of the most basic principles of economics: buy low, sell high. In fantasy hockey, the same premise applies to player transactions – knowing when to pick up, or get rid of, certain players is the key for achieving success.
So who are this year’s buy low/sell-high candidates? Here’s a few:
1. Eric Staal, Carolina – BUY LOW: Eric Staal owners from last year will recall that Staal’s fantasy performance only really took off when Cole returned to the Hurricanes in a late-season trade with the Oilers. Following that trade, Staal reeled off 25 points in 18 games, after spending the first 64 games scoring meager 50 points. This year, Staal has once again sputtered out of the gate with 5 points in his first 13 games – not surprisingly though, Erik Cole was out of action for most of those first 13 games with an injury. With a healthy Cole returning to the lineup on Monday, expect to see Eric Staal bounce back to his high-scoring ways. Unfortunately, Staal suffered an upper-body injury a few days ago that will keep him out of the lineup for a week or two, but this may in fact create the perfect opportunity to snatch Cole from a frustrated owner. He can likely be had for a number two center, or an overachiever (see below).
2. Pavel Datsyuk, Detroit – BUY LOW: in this case, we’re not talking about someone who has been a complete dud coming out of the gate. Pavel has a very respectable 10 points in his first 10 games, but for a player that came off back-to-back 97 point seasons, and was selected on average 10th overall, some owners may be getting impatient and expect more out of their first round pick. However, there is good reason to think that his performance will shift into high gear very shortly: first, Datsyuk has been struggling with an injury to start the season, but seems to be turning the corner with that and skating well again. Secondly, in an effort to stimulate his team, coach Mike Babcock has reunited Datsyuk with Zetterberg, a combination which has been lethal in previous years and is certain to explode once again. Finally, Detroit GM Ken Holland mentioned in a recent radio interview that the team’s strategy at the start of the season was to reduce the workload of their top guns in order to keep them fresh for the playoffs. This plan for reduced ice-time has backfired however, as the Wings have suffered injury after injury, and have floundered out of the gate, currently sitting 11th (gasp!) in the Western Conference. As a result, expect to see a return to the norm for the Red Wings’ guns, as they push to reclaim their throne atop the conference. All this should bode well for Datsyuk, but the window to trade for him is quickly closing.
3. Matt Stajan, Toronto – BUY LOW: ordinarily, I wouldn’t recommend any Leafs player but I think we might have an exception here, especially for deeper leagues. Matt Stajan showed some promise as a playmaker last year with 40 assists in 76 games, much of that on a line with a rejuvenated Jason Blake.This year the Leafs have added 36-goal scorer Phil Kessel to their lineup , who expects to make his Leafs debut on Tuesday after recovering from off-season shoulder surgery. Matt Stajan stands to benefit the most from this, as he is now flanked by two proven scorers on either side and should get lots of playing time as the Leafs only real offensive line. He should be good for 60-65 points, along with a 50-60 PIM.
4. Dustin Penner, Edmonton – SELL HIGH: this is a screaming sell. Although Penner has never posted more than 47 points in any of his previous four years, he’s started off this year on fire, with 19 points in his first 13 games. Furthermore, his career shooting percentage is in the range of 12%, much lower than the 19% clip he is currently sniping at. Neither of those trends seem likely to continue, especially on an Edmonton team that isn’t exactly an offensive powerhouse. In fact, 9 of Penner’s 19 points have come in two games, which has resulted in a significant padding of his statistics. Indeed, aside from a 4 point outburst against Detroit on October 29, Penner has been held pointless in 4 of his last 5 games. He is definitely a sell candidate and can perhaps net you a solid defenseman in return.
5. Matt Carle, Philadelphia – SELL HIGH: Carle has 12 points in his first 12 games with the Flyers this year, with a plus-11 rating and 8 PIM. 7 of those points have come in 2 games, leaving him with 5 points in his remaining 10 games. I think that the latter stats are more indicative of his future performance, especially given the latest injuries to sniper Simon Gagne and Daniel Briere. Carle posted 26 points last year and although a 40 point season seems likely, his current pace is unsustainable. Look to package him in a trade to a team thin on blue liners while he’s hot.
Who’s Hot: Lone Star Heat
The Dallas Stars’ hot start to the 2009-2010 season has calmed the fears of many in the Lone Star State that last year’s nosedive was the start of ugly things to come. With their 4-3 OT win against the Leafs on Wednesday, the Stars are now off to a 6-2-4 start and rank eighth in the league in scoring. Especially refreshing is the balanced scoring that this team has received – there are five players with 11 or more points in the team’s first twelve games. As such, there are several Stars players on our “Who’s Hot” list:
Brad Richards, Dallas – After breaking into the league as a promising rookie in 2000, Brad Richards has enjoyed a tremendous amount of success: a Stanley Cup and Conn Smythe trophy in 2003, a 91-point season in 2004 and a spot on the 2006 Canadian Olympic hockey team. 2008-2009 was a difficult season for Richards as he missed 26 games, many of them due to a broken right wrist. This year however Richards looks to build on his impressive resume and has one of the best starts of any player in the league: 15 points in 11 games, and most notably a plus-7 rating, which is encouraging given his dreadful minus-19 and minus-26 ratings in 2006 and 2007. Although he’ll never give you more than 20-30 PIM and may not be the best plus/minus source he’s off to a scorching start and barring any injuries, should be a lock for 70-75 points as your #2 center.
James Neal, Dallas – Neal is in his sophomore year with the Stars and is off to a terrific start: 14 points in 12 games, a shorthanded goal and a game-winning goal. Oh, and throw in a plus-7 rating while you’re at it. Although he’s yet to prove he can sustain this kind of scoring pace (he had 37 points as a rookie), what is impressive is his shooting percentage: 14% in 2008-2009 and 17.5% thus far. The fact that he was able to achieve such a high shooting percentage last year and continuing into this year as well, suggests that this year’s hot start may not be such a fluke after all. He’s getting a lot of ice time alongside a great playmaker in Brad Richards and with his demonstrated propensity to bury the biscuit he should be in line for a solid season. If you’re in a deep league looking for a breakout winger, this might be your guy.
Loui Eriksson, Dallas – Go and get this guy. If you’re looking for some goals, Eriksson is quietly poised to be the league’s next 40-goal scorer this year. Having potted 36 goals on a underachieving Stars team last year, Eriksson has picked up the pace in recent days with 6 points in the past 4 games and is flirting with a 40-goal pace. He possessed an unreal 20.2% scoring percentage last year and has improved on that thus far, scoring at a 22.7% clip. He may not have registered on most people’s radar quite yet and therefore you may still have a chance at snagging this guy in a trade, or perhaps even as a free agent in 8-team leagues.
Craig Andersen, Colorado – Is this for real? 10 wins, a miniscule 1.97 GAA, a staggering .940 SV% and two shutouts. Playing for a team that everyone expected to contend for a lottery pick, Andersen is the top rated goalie according to Yahoo! player rankings and has propelled the Avalanche to first overall in the league. Furthermore, Andersen looks to be the real deal – he’s reeled off save percentages of .935 and .924 the past two years, which is why the Avalanche gambled and made him their number one goalie in the off-season.
Jon Quick, Los Angeles – He may not be Craig Andersen-esque in terms of his stats (2.59 GAA, .905 SV%), but Jon Quick has reeled off 8 wins thus far, challenging Marc-Andre Fleury and Craig Andersen for the league lead in wins. He put in stellar back-to-back road efforts on Wednesday and Thursday against the top teams in the West, San Jose and Vancouver, but lost both games 2-1 as his offence let him down. This guy could be a great number 2 or 3 goalie on your team, and based on last year’s solid number (2.48 GAA, .914 SV%) he’s still got room to improve. The Kings are a young team on the upswing with Kopitar, Smyth, Doughty and Brown leading the way and Quick looks to be the beneficiary of a great nucleus of players.
Drew Doughty, Los Angeles – Doughty has outperformed the likes of Mike Green, Scott Niedermayer, Nicklas Lidstrom and Chris Pronger. With 12 points in 14 games, Doughty is certainly off to a hot start and living up to his 2nd overall picking in the 2008 draft. Playing on a unit with one of the league’s top scorers in Anze Kopitar has helped as well. Despite the Kings’ and Doughty’s hot start though, it’s unlikely he’ll be able to sustain this pace – if you can package him with another overachiever in a trade for a more reliable defenceman that may be underperforming or is injured (eg. Sheldon Souray, Nicklas Lidstrom) you might end up ahead in the end.
Dustin Penner, Edmonton – Just when you think this guy is going to come back to Earth, he lights up the defending Western Conference champs with a 4-point night. Penner is playing absolutely out of his world with 19 points in his first 13 games and is clicking on all cylinders with linemate Ales Hemsky. As good as this guy is though, he may be playing over his head – when you account for the fact that 9 of his 19 points came in just two games, his stats are a little less flashy: 10 points in 11 games. Still good, but not screaming good. Add to that the fact that he’s scoring on 23.7% of his shots, which is well above his career average of approximately 12%, and you can start to see cracks developing in his fantasy armour. Take advantage of his hot start and deal him for a more predictable, reliable player who’s simply off to a slow start.
Start Ryan Fitzpatrick!
Who will Pick up Tyler Myers first?
Hi Guys,
Every week , we here at Sportsruckus will fill you in on how you can get the edge for this weeks upcoming NFL games for your Fantasy Football Leagues (FFL, from now on !!)
This week we have some good tips for you so you can hopefully win your game !!
Qb’s
Tom Brady,
I know its a no brainer but remember no one has given up more td passes than the bucs and Tommy Boy just threw for 6 in the snow in New England , so he will still produce in the downpour that’s bound to occur playing in Old England !!
Peyton Manning
Going on the road and playing in a dome !! Go figure ! St Louis won’t put up too much of a fight since they have no wr’s so Peyton should have plenty of opportunies to reward his owners.
Donovan McNabb
Quite frankly, he stunk last week, so look for another rebound like last year when he had a monster game after he stunk too ! Plus in Philly they forget what you’ve done for them very quickly and with Kevin on the Kolb in the wings , Donovan better produce now !
Matt Shaub
He’s just too hot to pass up right now, look for big things against a really good 49er defense.
Rb’s
DeAngelo Williams/Jonathan Stewart
The Panthers are salivating for the Bills to come and bring the defence that gave up 309 yards rushing last week to the Jets.
Michael Turner
The Burner is going to do just that to the Cowboys who couldn’t stop much in their last effort in KC .
Ronnie Brown
He hasn’t been stopped yet ! The Saints bring in a formidable defence so we will see where the chips fall on this one but Miami has moved the ball on every team they’ve played so far.
Jammal Charles,
Or is it Charlie Jammal ? Either way , with the Charger defensive line in shambles, this no-name will be on everyones stat sheet come monday morning
Wr’s
Randy Moss
Who’s gonna stop him ? Tiki’s brother ? Tom Brady’s #1 target and besides he hates bangers and mash so he’s been spending extra time on the field and in the video room !
Reggie Wayne
Peytons not the only one playing in a dome this week !
Andre Johnson
If Roddy White put up 200 yards on the 49ers last game, imagine what this tackle breaking beast will do !
Dwayne Bowe
It’s not that Bowe is that good, it’s just that the Charger secondary is that bad !
TE’s
Dallas Clark,
With Will Witherspoon just traded, who’s gonna cover the best receiving tight end in the league ?
Brent Celek,
This guys the best unknown player in the league right now, Rocky McIntosh will be going to school on monday night in front of 20 million people…ouch !!
Special Teamer
Leon Washington,
The Raiders have one of the worst kickoff coverage in the league not to mntion that little Leon is a Stud !!
Defense
Philadelphia,
Washington only put 6 on the Chiefs at home….oh boy ! I might be in bed by halftime !
New York Jets
With Darrell Revis taking out their best receiver (whoever that is ) look for the Jets to get on Jamarcus early and often.
There you have it, now go kick some tush on Sunday, and if you win, just email sportsruckus and I will send you my PayPal account for donations !
VV
Members of the 2009 Stanley Cup Champion Pittsburgh Penguins will conduct a special clinic for Pittsburgh and Washington, DC youth prior to The White House ceremony hosted by President Obama honoring the 2009 Stanley Cup Champion.
The clinic will take place at the Fort Dupont Ice Arena, the only public indoor ice arena located in Washington, DC, and the only skating facility in the area that provides free or subsidized skating and hockey programs to children. The event will be a central component of the NHL’s partnership with United We Serve, President Obama’s call to service challenging all Americans to engage in sustained, meaningful service to meet growing social needs.
Who: 2009 Stanley Cup Champion Pittsburgh Penguins stars, Captain Sidney
Crosby, Marc-Andre Fleury, Bill Guerin, Evgeni Malkin, Brooks Orpik and
Jordan Staal.
Willie O’Ree (Hockey is for Everyone Ambassador)
Fort Dupont Ice Hockey Club (oldest minority youth hockey program in U.S.)
Hockey in the Hood Pittsburgh
Friends of Fort Dupont Kids on Ice Program
When: Thursday, September 10, 2009, 1:30 p.m.
Where: Fort Dupont Ice Arena
3779 Ely Place, SE
Washington, DC 20019
Thursday, January 26, 2012 5:42
Ok Steeler fans so your team is not in the Super Bowl this year, you still have an exciting hockey team that thrills a packed house of crazy hockey fans. Just 6 hours from the Canadian “hey” border this would make a great road trip for the best hockey fans in the world. Here is [...]